tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Chicago via Columbus: arrives on time 93%

  1. 22:12 SEA → 05:40 CMH
    AS 280 · Alaska · 4h 28m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:00 CMH → 09:10 MDW +1 day
    WN 1197 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 95% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 8h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 58mSEA 22:12 to MDW 09:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.