tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tampa via Columbus: arrives on time 87%

  1. 22:12 SEA → 05:40 CMH
    AS 280 · Alaska · 4h 28m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 55m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 07:35 CMH → 09:45 TPA +1 day
    WN 2996 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 96% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 55m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip8h 33mSEA 22:12 to TPA 09:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.