tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Newark via Columbus: arrives on time 90%

  1. 22:12 SEA → 05:40 CMH
    AS 280 · Alaska · 4h 28m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:12 CMH → 11:05 EWR +1 day
    UA 3467 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 53m · 94% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip9h 53mSEA 22:12 to EWR 11:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.