tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Detroit via Columbus: arrives on time 94%

  1. 22:12 SEA → 05:40 CMH
    AS 280 · Alaska · 4h 28m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:04 CMH → 09:15 DTW +1 day
    DL 5812 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 11m · 95% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 03mSEA 22:12 to DTW 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.