tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Burbank via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:02 BNA → 10:04 SEA
    AS 281 · Alaska · 5h 02m · 81% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 SEA → 13:56 BUR
    AS 529 · Alaska · 2h 36m · 73% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 54mBNA 07:02 to BUR 13:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.