tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Ontario via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 07:02 BNA → 10:04 SEA
    AS 281 · Alaska · 5h 02m · 81% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:50 SEA → 16:30 ONT
    AS 571 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 52% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 11h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 181 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip11h 28mBNA 07:02 to ONT 16:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.