tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:05 BZN → 16:05 SEA
    AS 286 · Alaska · 2h 00m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:10 SEA → 19:55 LAX
    AS 492 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 50mBZN 15:05 to LAX 19:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.