tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 15:05 BZN → 16:05 SEA
    AS 286 · Alaska · 2h 00m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:48 SEA → 23:59 ORD
    AS 538 · Alaska · 4h 11m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip7h 54mBZN 15:05 to ORD 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.