tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Columbus via Seattle: arrives on time 88%

  1. 16:00 PHX → 19:06 SEA
    AS 289 · Alaska · 3h 06m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:12 SEA → 05:40 CMH +1 day
    AS 280 · Alaska · 4h 28m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 40mPHX 16:00 to CMH 05:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.