tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Fresno via Seattle: arrives on time 74%

  1. 16:00 PHX → 19:06 SEA
    AS 289 · Alaska · 3h 06m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 SEA → 22:46 FAT
    AS 3343 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 21m · 85% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 46mPHX 16:00 to FAT 22:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.