tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Spokane → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 32%

  1. 13:26 GEG → 14:40 SEA
    AS 293 · Alaska · 1h 14m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:42 SEA → 17:53 SJC
    AS 319 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip4h 27mGEG 13:26 to SJC 17:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.