tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boise → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 6%

  1. 18:13 BOI → 18:53 SEA
    AS 296 · Alaska · 1h 40m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:42 SEA → 21:54 SFO
    AS 628 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 12% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Boise). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time6%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (12%).
Total trip4h 41mBOI 18:13 to SFO 21:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.