tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Austin via Hebron: arrives on time 87%

  1. 22:05 SEA → 05:30 CVG
    AS 298 · Alaska · 4h 25m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:10 CVG → 09:50 AUS +1 day
    DL 5005 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 40m · 90% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 70 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 45mSEA 22:05 to AUS 09:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.