tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Chicago via Hebron: arrives on time 96%

  1. 22:05 SEA → 05:30 CVG
    AS 298 · Alaska · 4h 25m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Hebron (CVG) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:00 CVG → 08:05 MDW +1 day
    WN 3016 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time96%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip8h 00mSEA 22:05 to MDW 08:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.