tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Sacramento via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:25 EWR → 10:35 SEA
    AS 299 · Alaska · 6h 10m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:55 SEA → 13:57 SMF
    AS 1428 · Alaska · 2h 02m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip9h 32mEWR 07:25 to SMF 13:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.