tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 57%

  1. 07:25 EWR → 10:35 SEA
    AS 299 · Alaska · 6h 10m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:39 SEA → 14:27 ANC
    AS 83 · Alaska · 3h 48m · 72% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 11h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip11h 02mEWR 07:25 to ANC 14:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.