tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 07:25 EWR → 10:35 SEA
    AS 299 · Alaska · 6h 10m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:45 SEA → 14:48 PDX
    AS 3204 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 03m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 23mEWR 07:25 to PDX 14:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.