tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 07:25 EWR → 10:35 SEA
    AS 299 · Alaska · 6h 10m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 14:30 SEA → 16:50 SFO
    DL 3707 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 20m · 71% on time, 1.2% cancelled

Total trip 12h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip12h 25mEWR 07:25 to SFO 16:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.