tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Seattle via Portland: arrives on time 61%

  1. 17:29 MCO → 20:34 PDX
    AS 301 · Alaska · 6h 05m · 70% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PDX → 22:27 SEA
    AS 2421 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 57m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Orlando). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip7h 58mMCO 17:29 to SEA 22:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.