tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 16:29 JFK → 20:09 SEA
    AS 31 · Alaska · 6h 40m · 74% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:59 SEA → 02:40 ANC +1 day
    AS 1363 · Alaska · 3h 41m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 14h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip14h 11mJFK 16:29 to ANC 02:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.