tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Miami via Detroit: arrives on time 87%

  1. 09:18 SEA → 16:33 DTW
    AS 313 · Alaska · 4h 15m · 85% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 24m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:57 DTW → 22:10 MIA
    AA 3358 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 13m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 54 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 24m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 52mSEA 09:18 to MIA 22:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.