tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Anchorage → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 70%

  1. 09:07 ANC → 13:42 SEA
    AS 315 · Alaska · 3h 35m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h ahead of Anchorage). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 41mANC 09:07 to SFO 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.