tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Fairbanks via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 08:40 DEN → 10:42 SEA
    AS 317 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 84% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 SEA → 14:55 FAI
    AS 1507 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fairbanks is 2 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 15mDEN 08:40 to FAI 14:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.