tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Denver → Lihue via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 08:40 DEN → 10:42 SEA
    AS 317 · Alaska · 3h 02m · 84% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:28 SEA → 14:40 LIH
    AS 258 · Alaska · 6h 12m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Lihue is 4 h behind Denver). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip10h 00mDEN 08:40 to LIH 14:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.