tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Reno → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 42%

  1. 06:03 RNO → 08:02 SEA
    AS 323 · Alaska · 1h 59m · 88% on time, 1.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:53 SEA → 11:09 SFO
    AS 528 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 54% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 06mRNO 06:03 to SFO 11:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.