tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Oakland via Portland: arrives on time 87%

  1. 14:12 ORD → 16:47 PDX
    AS 325 · Alaska · 4h 35m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:54 PDX → 21:41 OAK
    AS 2036 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 47m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 29mORD 14:12 to OAK 21:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.