tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 00:17 SEA → 06:20 ORD
    AS 328 · Alaska · 4h 03m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:40 ORD → 11:44 TUL
    AA 4135 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 04m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 27mSEA 00:17 to TUL 11:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.