tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albuquerque → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 14:43 ABQ → 16:55 SEA
    AS 330 · Alaska · 3h 12m · 83% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:48 SEA → 23:59 ORD
    AS 538 · Alaska · 4h 11m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip8h 16mABQ 14:43 to ORD 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.