tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 31%

  1. 17:42 ORD → 20:21 SEA
    AS 337 · Alaska · 4h 39m · 49% on time, 6.3% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:18 SEA → 00:05 LAX +1 day
    AS 1390 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (6.3% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip8h 23mORD 17:42 to LAX 00:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.