tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Kalispell via Seattle: arrives on time 44%

  1. 17:42 ORD → 20:21 SEA
    AS 337 · Alaska · 4h 39m · 49% on time, 6.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 SEA → 23:59 FCA
    AS 2121 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 24m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kalispell is 1 h behind Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (6.3% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 17mORD 17:42 to FCA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.