tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 46%

  1. 19:07 AUS → 21:35 SEA
    AS 339 · Alaska · 4h 28m · 74% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 SEA → 23:30 PDX
    AS 1457 · Alaska · 1h 01m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 23mAUS 19:07 to PDX 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.