tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:01 DTW → 09:00 SEA
    AS 344 · Alaska · 4h 59m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 06m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:06 SEA → 13:55 SNA
    AS 1357 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 85% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 81 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 06m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip9h 54mDTW 07:01 to SNA 13:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.