tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 49%

  1. 08:54 ATL → 11:20 SEA
    AS 348 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 69% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:18 SEA → 15:06 ANC
    AS 657 · Alaska · 3h 48m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip10h 12mATL 08:54 to ANC 15:06, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.