tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:54 ATL → 11:20 SEA
    AS 348 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 69% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 SEA → 16:41 SNA
    AS 773 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 47mATL 08:54 to SNA 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.