tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Portland via San Diego: arrives on time 81%

  1. 11:30 JFK → 14:27 SAN
    AS 35 · Alaska · 5h 57m · 77% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:58 SAN → 20:31 PDX
    AS 1392 · Alaska · 2h 33m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 12h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 166 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip12h 01mJFK 11:30 to PDX 20:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.