tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Honolulu via San Diego: arrives on time 73%

  1. 11:30 JFK → 14:27 SAN
    AS 35 · Alaska · 5h 57m · 77% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:16 SAN → 20:22 HNL
    AS 894 · Alaska · 6h 06m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 14h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 6 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip14h 52mJFK 11:30 to HNL 20:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.