tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 58%

  1. 16:31 EWR → 19:48 SEA
    AS 356 · Alaska · 6h 17m · 73% on time, 5.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:28 SEA → 22:25 PDX
    AS 498 · Alaska · 57m · 74% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (5.9% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 54mEWR 16:31 to PDX 22:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.