tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → San Jose via Seattle: arrives on time 86%

  1. 09:30 IAD → 12:16 SEA
    AS 361 · Alaska · 5h 46m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:18 SEA → 16:32 SJC
    AS 1366 · Alaska · 2h 14m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Jose is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip10h 02mIAD 09:30 to SJC 16:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.