tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Santa Ana via Seattle: arrives on time 82%

  1. 09:30 IAD → 12:16 SEA
    AS 361 · Alaska · 5h 46m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:49 SEA → 16:41 SNA
    AS 773 · Alaska · 2h 52m · 87% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 10h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Dulles). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip10h 11mIAD 09:30 to SNA 16:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.