tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Orlando via San Diego: arrives on time 24%

  1. 17:40 PDX → 20:18 SAN
    AS 369 · Alaska · 2h 38m · 57% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:06 SAN → 05:18 MCO +1 day
    AS 707 · Alaska · 5h 12m · 87% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Portland). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip8h 38mPDX 17:40 to MCO 05:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.