tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 43%

  1. 07:00 ATL → 09:26 SEA
    AS 377 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:14 SEA → 13:00 ANC
    AS 1556 · Alaska · 3h 46m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 4 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip10h 00mATL 07:00 to ANC 13:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.