tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Tucson via Seattle: arrives on time 63%

  1. 07:00 ATL → 09:26 SEA
    AS 377 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:19 SEA → 13:31 TUS
    AS 648 · Alaska · 3h 12m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tucson is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip9h 31mATL 07:00 to TUS 13:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.