tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 18:07 BWI → 21:00 SEA
    AS 379 · Alaska · 5h 53m · 67% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 SEA → 23:30 PDX
    AS 1457 · Alaska · 1h 01m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 23mBWI 18:07 to PDX 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.