tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New Orleans via Nashville: arrives on time 86%

  1. 23:15 SEA → 05:40 BNA
    AS 382 · Alaska · 4h 25m · 78% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:05 BNA → 09:40 MSY +1 day
    WN 594 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip8h 25mSEA 23:15 to MSY 09:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.