tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 59%

  1. 13:27 FAT → 15:43 SEA
    AS 384 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 21mFAT 13:27 to SFO 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.