tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fresno → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 67%

  1. 13:27 FAT → 15:43 SEA
    AS 384 · Alaska · 2h 16m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 SEA → 19:53 PHX
    AS 744 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip6h 26mFAT 13:27 to PHX 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.