tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:03 MSP → 07:58 SEA
    AS 387 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 01m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:59 SEA → 13:41 ANC
    AS 433 · Alaska · 3h 42m · 80% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 01m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip10h 38mMSP 06:03 to ANC 13:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.