tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Reno via Seattle: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:03 MSP → 07:58 SEA
    AS 387 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 SEA → 11:03 RNO
    AS 3079 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 53m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Reno is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip7h 00mMSP 06:03 to RNO 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.