tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Portland via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:03 MSP → 07:58 SEA
    AS 387 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 SEA → 09:49 PDX
    AS 3132 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 04m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip5h 46mMSP 06:03 to PDX 09:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.