tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Billings via Seattle: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:03 MSP → 07:58 SEA
    AS 387 · Alaska · 3h 55m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:09 SEA → 13:05 BIL
    AS 2054 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 56m · 82% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Billings is 1 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 02mMSP 06:03 to BIL 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.